War
Composite pressure toward major-power armed conflict.
dyinghumanity.com tracks how humanity is doing across ten dimensions: war, the climate, our minds, gendered violence, greed, polarisation, isolation, religion, the platforms that own our attention, and the ecosystems we are emptying. Each gets a 0-100 composite score, weighted from ten cited signals you can open and argue with.
What's below: a symbolic Humanity Clock, an at-a-glance dashboard of how the dimensions couple to each other and where each is trending, six years of dated evidence, a world map of the live conflict picture, and the ten pillar pages themselves. Every number is auditable. Every framing is one person's reading; the point is to make those choices visible rather than hide them.
This is not a literal prediction. It is a symbolic figure derived from the weighted composite of the pillars below, mapped linearly onto a 60-year horizon so that today's stress level has a visceral, ticking embodiment. The number that matters is which direction it moves over time, and which pillar is pushing it.
Red = positive coupling (one rises, the other does too, both bad). Blue = negative. Solid = country-level evidence. Faded = editorial, from the relevant pillar's literature.
| WAR | CLIMATE | MIND | VIOLENCE | GREED | POLARISATION | ISOLATION | RELIGION | TECH | ECOSYSTEM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WAR | · | |||||||||
| CLIMATE | · | |||||||||
| MIND | · | |||||||||
| VIOLENCE | · | |||||||||
| GREED | · | |||||||||
| POLARISATION | · | |||||||||
| ISOLATION | · | |||||||||
| RELIGION | · | |||||||||
| TECH | · | |||||||||
| ECOSYSTEM | · |
Editorial reading of documented one-way drivers. Arrow thickness = link weight. Hover a link to read it.
Editorial projections rolling forward today's signal trajectories. Bars are scored 0-100; the chip at the end is the current driver.
Each dot is a sourced event or a scheduled milestone. The vertical bar is today. Hover a dot for the entry.
Dated, attributed headlines. Newest first.
A scroll through the past six years of headlines that bear on what this site measures. Every entry is dated, attributed, and chosen for material weight rather than virality. The point is the accumulation, not any single line.
12-month global temperature anomaly stays above 1.55°C for the third consecutive year.
New START Treaty officially expires with no successor agreement; nuclear-arms-control architecture collapses.
European far-right gains in multiple national elections; centrist coalitions struggle to form.
White-collar AI layoffs accelerate across legal, marketing, and customer-support sectors.
WHO: adolescent mental-health diagnoses up sharply versus pre-pandemic baseline.
Lancet study: indirect death toll from Gaza war likely exceeds 186,000.
Europe shatters multiple national heat records in July heatwave; 50°C hit in parts of the south.
US bombs Iranian nuclear facilities at Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan during '12-day war.'
Israel launches large-scale strikes on Iranian nuclear and command targets.
India and Pakistan exchange strikes after Pahalgam attack in Kashmir.
Trump announces sweeping 'reciprocal' tariffs; global markets sell off hard.
Trump pauses most USAID funding; foreign-aid programs and partners scramble.
Trump returns to the White House; day-one executive orders on tariffs, deportations, climate, and TikTok.
Bashar al-Assad regime falls in Syria after 53 years; rebels enter Damascus.
ICC issues arrest warrant for Netanyahu over Gaza war crimes allegations.
Donald Trump wins second term; Republicans take both chambers of Congress.
Israeli airstrike kills Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah in Beirut.
Coordinated pager attacks in Lebanon kill dozens and wound thousands attributed to Hezbollah.
Pavel Durov arrested in France; Telegram free-speech and crime debate erupts.
OpenAI o1 'reasoning' model debuts; cost of intelligent compute keeps falling.
Trump shot at Pennsylvania rally; survives.
Donald Trump becomes first US former president convicted of a felony.
Iran launches its first-ever direct strike on Israel: 300+ missiles and drones.
Alexei Navalny dies in Russian Arctic penal colony.
ICJ orders Israel to prevent genocidal acts in Gaza; genocide case proceeds.
Houthi attacks on Red Sea shipping force major carriers to reroute around Africa.
COP28 ends with first-ever call for the world to 'transition away from fossil fuels.'
Gaza death toll passes 11,000; UN warns of famine and collapse of medical system.
Hamas attacks southern Israel; 1,195 killed and 251 hostages taken.
Earth surpasses 1.5°C above pre-industrial averaged over 12 months for the first time.
Yevgeny Prigozhin killed in a plane crash north of Moscow.
Maui wildfires destroy historic Lahaina and kill at least 100.
Wagner Group mutiny; Prigozhin's column marches on Moscow, then turns back.
WHO declares the end of the COVID-19 global health emergency.
Atmospheric CO₂ breaks 420 ppm for the first time in 4 million years.
Earthquake in Türkiye and Syria kills more than 59,000.
OpenAI launches ChatGPT to the public; mass-market generative AI begins.
Elon Musk completes Twitter takeover; mass layoffs and policy reversals follow.
Mahsa Amini dies in Iranian custody; women-led protests sweep the country.
Queen Elizabeth II dies after 70 years on the throne.
Pakistan floods displace 33 million; a third of the country underwater.
US Supreme Court overturns Roe v. Wade, ending the constitutional right to abortion.
Gunman kills 19 children and 2 teachers at Robb Elementary in Uvalde, Texas.
Russian shelling of a Mariupol maternity hospital draws global condemnation.
Russia launches full-scale invasion of Ukraine; largest land war in Europe since 1945.
Omicron variant detected in southern Africa; spreads globally within weeks.
IPCC: world on a 2.7°C warming track even if every Paris pledge is met.
Taliban enter Kabul; Afghan government collapses within hours of US withdrawal.
Western Canada heat dome kills 600 in days; Lytton burns to the ground.
Hong Kong's Apple Daily forced to shut as Beijing tightens national-security law.
Container ship Ever Given blocks the Suez Canal for six days, halting global trade.
Texas power grid collapses in winter storm; hundreds die in their homes.
Pro-Trump mob storms the US Capitol to block certification of the election; five dead.
Global COVID-19 deaths pass 1.8 million in the pandemic's first year.
Biden defeats Trump; Trump refuses to concede the election.
California wildfire smoke turns the San Francisco sky a dystopian orange.
Beirut port explosion kills more than 200 and flattens half the city.
George Floyd killed by Minneapolis police; protests sweep cities worldwide.
WHO declares COVID-19 a pandemic; global lockdowns begin.
WHO declares novel coronavirus a global health emergency.
Score is the pillar's composite (0 to 100); share is its contribution to the weighted average behind the master clock. When more pillars come online, this breakdown will spread across all ten.
Composite pressure toward major-power armed conflict.
Atmospheric, ocean, ice, and biosphere stress on a habitable planet.
Anxiety, social-media intensity, loneliness, sleep loss, meaning collapse.
Intimate-partner violence, femicide, child abuse, coercive control.
Wealth concentration, capture of political institutions, eroding social mobility.
Affective polarisation, distrust of institutions, algorithmic echo chambers.
Decline of community life, single-occupancy households, screen-mediated contact.
Sectarian conflict, secularisation crises, weaponised piety, meaning vacuum.
Algorithmic capture of attention, AI labor displacement, autonomy collapse.
Species extinction rate, factory-farm scale, ocean depletion, habitat loss.
Each pillar carries readings from across cultures and disciplines: Western scientific, Indigenous land-stewardship, Global South justice, Eastern contemplative, religious, lived experience. The position and the evidence sit next to each other.
Signal weights, sources, snapshots, scoring code, and the LLM prompts all live in git. If a number is wrong, you can trace which input is wrong and submit a correction.
The countdown is an editorial framing, not a prediction. What it asserts is that the direction across the ten pillars is consistently bad. You can verify that signal by signal.